We are getting played for fools


I chose not to watch the Primary in South Carolina yesterday.  Instead it was a beautifully calm day, a bit grey and overcast, but enjoyable.  Later I called my family to with my father and brother a Happy Birthday, then my mother hit me with the bad news.  Newt Gingrich had won the Primary in SC.  Not just won it, crushed the opposition with a 12.6% margin.

A keystone to this crossing-the-Rubicon moment for Gingrich was the one-two knockout soundbite from the Debates on Thursday where he so throughly trounced John King for opening a presidential primary debate with a question about a quick-break attention piece involving one of Newt’s ex-wives.  The response to the question, and the subsequent verbal beat down of not just King but of the mainstream media in general, played into the eager hands of a staunchly partisan audience and it was the applause heard ’round the nation.  the next morning radio stations were rolling the audio as if it were the first shot fired at Fort Sumter, an image the Drudge Report would later play out  at the top of its well-known site.

So, now we have a two-man race again (Santorum can bark all he want, but he will not last past Florida and I bear no ill will to Paul but he is not getting the traction he needs to sustain), and one has to ask if this is what we want.  I have problems with the Primary system in place, and I have stated as much in previous posts.  From the nonsense about the ballots being too tough to get on in Virginia to how ridiculously easy it is to get anyone’s voting card in New Hampshire; the system is rife with either incompetence or inconsistencies, either of which are becoming glaringly detrimental to the good order of trying to figure out who on earth the Republican Party is going to throw into the ring against the current political version of Ivan Drago, President Barack Obama (allusion aside, he is geared with the money, the people and the technology to be the best in the field).

Rocky parallels aside, the Primaries are the issue.  They are no longer bellwethers, they are Fairweather at best.  Gingrich’s rises to stardom came and went a month and change ago on the premise of his debate skills, and he crashed back to earth in an almost Icarian fashion.  Now, the voters of South Carolina have seen fit to give him another pair of wax wings and let him have another go at that flying-too-close-to-the-sun plan that went so damnably well last time.  All the while Other candidates bleed out on the sidelines, their ideas and policies being overrun by a wretchedly, and mind numbingly irritating, need to focus on the tawdry details related to the bedroom rather than the boardroom or the war room.  So, the question becomes, how does one play it.

I mentioned to friends last night that either the event preceding the debate are either an amazing use of metagaming by Gingrich or an even more brilliant application by political operatives of the other side of the house.

here is the Hypothesis: A single candidate is developing to be the standard-bearer for the opposition party with four years of campaigning under his belt, money to spare, and a national organization that might very well match your own; however there is a mercurial, loud, and ultimately vitriolic candidate that had his 15 minutes and is still holding on but does not have the organization, structure, or funds to match your candidate blow for blow.  Choose who you want to run against, I’ll wait…

Now, the mercurial one is known to play the audience in debates.  The opposition has chosen to run the concept of debates into the grounds but any observer with half a brain cell has noted that the body politic of the opposition party is in a state of spastic upheaval on a weekly basis.  In Five months there have been four frontrunners, some changing hands literally within a week.

They are fractured, leery, and hiding the contempt they have for the thin field of candidates as “weighing their options”.  So, how does one get this group do what you want them to do?  Play to their sensibilities.  Media, to the opposition is a vile thing.  Intrusive (it is), invasive (it is), and lacking basic moral compunction and sound grounding in reality (ehhh…).  All of these are detestable, easy to point out, and the denouncing of the almost criminally invasive nature of the fourth pillar make for great air time on any given channel.

So, We have our mark, we have our patsy, and we need a catalyst to get this ball rolling.  Enter the angry ex-wife that can highlight some socially unacceptable behavior of the mercurial candidate in question.  Air an interview that is much ballyhooed shortly before the Debate, and then fire the opening shot of the debate, not about something all four candidates can talk about, but about what was said a few hours ago.  No time to vet, no time to plan a solid ground game response, just the smooth operator in front of a sympathetic audience with a bit of trepidation and a (let’s be totally honest Jon King got set up to take a hit on that one) slick-haired liberal elite media personality, and boom.  It was a softball lob to Barry Bonds with a corked bat.  It is out of the park.  It is a standing ovation for the man who has had his private life of a decade ago put on display (let us not forget who he hunted in his time), and several rounds of booing for the big bad journalist.

The next morning, the airwaves are filled with the audio of the verbal smack down, the televisions hum with the warm glow of a presidential primary candidate striking one home, and all the while the question is left unanswered, the dogma forgotten in the moment of vicious rebuttal, and now our Mercurial candidate has knocked out the stalwart leader.  Anger, again, has taken the front of the stage and the calm discipline of others is forgotten, if not frowned upon.  The challenger you were most concerned with is now falling behind in the polls (granted he did himself no favors when muddling about releasing his tax records), and the mercurial one is shooting upwards again.  Money will pour into his dusty coffers, a little more organization will be made,  a little more headway will be gained.  All in all, it is the walk to the convention, and you want that convention.  A split floor with only half the opposition choosing the person to be their standard-bearer against the incumbant; oh yes, you want that.

It sounds Vaudevillian.  To be frank, it sounds downright ridiculous, but stop for one moment, look back, and tell me you can’t see it going down that way.  Why lose a rook when you can convince the other sides knight to take out a bishop?

Sanity reigns in the Old Dominion but it isn’t stopping the show


On Friday a highly anticipated decision regarding the appearance of Primary candidates who couldn’t muster enough support to be placed on the Virginia ballot came down, and it was an absolute delight.   The Hon. John A Gibney Jr. echoed what many had said over the weeks leading up to this (copy of the decision provided care of Politico): “In essence, they played the game, lost and then complained that the rules were unfair.”

I saw former Speaker of the House New Gingrich as being the sole individual who might even have a modicum of a chance in the challenge, with the disparate rules regarding those who get over 10,000 signatures and those who get over 15,000 signatures.  So, when he didn’t file the suit, and it was Rick “I barely pulled off half of what was required” Perry, it was doomed to fail.  When Santorum and Huntsman jumped on board, it was an obvious grab, like those who aren’t directly affected by a particular event, but jump onto a civil lawsuit pocket some ill-gotten reward, the theatre of the situation only worsened. The most galling of notes, aside from the Huntsman/Santorm scam attempt, was that Gingrich did not file  notice of intent to run for office in Virginia until 22 December 2011.  For those unaware, signature collection began on 1 July 2011.

The argument that if the candidates had access to the horde of out-of-state petition gatherers (of the paid variety I imagine) that they would have easily trumped the 10,000 signature requirement is dubious at best.  Judge Gibney pointed out in his decision that there are over five million registered voters in Virginia, and close to two million participated in the last statewide election.  Cut down the middle that means that there were one million active voters that should have been available to had their doors knocked and said yes or no.  If all candidates had hit those doors, and assuming a one in ten chance of success, that still leaves roughly 100,000 voter signatures, more than enough for all of the candidates combined, and room for a few more.  Another point of disclosure, a registered voter can sign for more than one candidate.

I will give a local example to ply exactly how poorly these men failed: Ben Loyola, a local businessman, ran for State Senate last year.  During his campaign he is said to have knocked on over 50,000 doors personally.  After the campaign events were done for the night, barring it wasn’t too late, he along with his campaign manager and body man would head out to a section of the district he was running for and started on a block, and away he would go.  Sometimes only 20 houses in a night, sometimes north of 100.  Either way, he was on the ground personally.  Come election day Mr. Loyola, sadly, did not win, but pulled in over 10,000 votes.  Those in the game have said the door to actual vote ration is somewhere in the 10:1 range.  If a local businessman can walk from the Hampton Roads area to the border of Maryland looking for support on what would be even less than a shoe-string budget compared to a national campaign, then all of these individuals running for President could have gotten the word out, or, at the least, made a damn appearance in the state.  A Gingrich event at a park, cordinated with one of the Tea Party organizations would have brought hundred, mayhaps a few thousand.

What happened in earnest, is that the candidate didn’t put their foot forward, and in the case of Santorum and Huntsman, they flatly didn’t give a damn (Santorum did gather signatures, but since he never filed a notice to run in the state of Virginia, the signatures were turned away).  Those in Virginia now roaring to the Heavens about the intolerable nature of it all, and the vile laws that govern the way it goes have forgotten that their signature and their options on the ballot are driven not only by their keen interest in a candidate, but in the candidate’s campaign to do the bare minimum.  Santorum is a perfect example with the  thousands spent in Virginia to gather the roughly 8,000 signatures, then to have them turned away because he didn’t fill out the needed paperwork.  He, himself, and his campaign managers, national and Virginia, are bearers of  blame there.

Virginia is not some evil society of string-pulling puppeteers winnowing the field of choices down to the guy they kinda-don’t-like and the one that is getting run over because he sounds crazy saying in public what we’ve been chatting about over kitchen tables for the last twenty years.  The law is in place, followed for decades, and performed as intended.  Should someone fail to follow the letter of the law, there is a punishment that goes along with that.  Those who cannot even follow that simple dictum have no place running for the highest office in the land.  If they can’t figure out one state’s requirements for a simple primary petition, how can we have any faith that they will be able to grasp the issue then  provide educated insight and leadership on topics far, far more complex?

What price victory


So, coming off a monumental failure to comply to even the most basic of campaign requirements the Perry campaign filed a lawsuit to stop Virginia from printing a ballot without his name on it.  One would find this an abyssal low for a candidate who has kicked his “State’s rights” credo up and down the street more times than there were hideous debate performances, but there are some in this entire show who are even more disgusting.

On Friday it was indicated that four other Candidates: New Gingrich, Michelle Bachman, Rick Santorum, and John Huntsman, have tossed their hats in with the Perry lawsuit in an attempt to get their names on the ballot.  Gingrich, as it has become known, submitted signatures, however a lone individual was apparently responsible for 1500 bad signatures.  While I doubt the veracity of this lone corrupt signature gatherer, issues like this arise when there is a mad dash for signatures in the final hour and financial incentives are offered for signatures.   The other three….well, they didn’t even bother to submit petitions in Virginia.

Three ‘candidates’ who were ‘serious’ about running for President of the United States did not even attempt to file to be on the primary ballot in Virginia.  this isn’t sad, this isn’t an oversight, this is pathetic and possibly the most miserable excuse of riding the coattails of someone else I have ever seen.  Three sniveling wretches who didn’t even have the time or decency to come to Virginia and petition the voters who are supposed to chose them as the candidate to beat the President want to jump on the bandwagon with Rick Perry and be hoisted up as a candidate that spent the time and effort in Virginia to meet the requirements.  They are a picture perfect example of what the Republican Party is trying to remove in this country, a notion that because they participated, because they happen to be competing for the same thing that they should be entitled to the same benefits that those who put in the time and effort to gather the needed signatures.

Forget laws that have been in place for over a decade, forget that dozens of other candidates who have run for statewide elections have fulfilled this requirement, and go ahead and ignore the fact that Perry only turned in around 6,000 instead of something closer to the required 10,000 signatures.  No, forget the requirements and rule of law.  Now the campaigns of those who were found wanting are filling a lawsuit because they had to follow the rules.

There are several dozen insults I could fling at them but to be frank, they’re not worth the time.  If the campaigns of Bachman, Huntsman, and Santorum cannot even bother an attempt at coming to Virginia and seeking out the support of the republican base then they have no legal basis to be added to the lawsuit.  No harm has fallen to them since there was no effort expended.  For the Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli to stand up for these political failures is a disturbing note.

The AG is responsible for ensuring that the laws of Virginia are enforced.  Kowtowing to candidates, some who didn’t even bother to file in his state, by submitting emergency legislation to the general assembly is not only a poor decision, it is indicative of the AG, who will be running for Governor in the upcoming election, is already playing politics for the individuals at the national level who he believes can do more for him than the constituents of hist state.  He’s selling out his state’s sovereignty and failing in his duties so that he can put himself in some imperceptibly better position to fail Virginia further.

the laws of the state are just that, the law.  If the Republican party is going to claim they are the party of laws and personal responsibility then we need to elect individuals who are willing to stand up and recognize those laws.  Trying to circumvent those laws, which dozens of other individuals running for office have been able to meet to move on to public office, is indicative of an individual who is not willing to live to the standard needed, and indicative of an individual who, under no circumstances whatsoever, should be given the unwarranted opportunity to be on the ballot in Virginia’s Primary.